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League Two
Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · 3:00 PM BST

Newport vs York City Prediction & Win Probability

Newport has a 47% chance to win.

1-3-3 · Rating 1188
Form: DDLLD
VS
3-2-2 · Rating 1167
Form: LWDLW
Model Probability
47%
26%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

York City

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.7%1.7%10.2%9.0%
If Win 2.3%2.3%15.1%4.1%
If Draw 1.6%1.6%10.3%7.9%
If Lose 1.0%1.0%6.6%10.8%

Newport

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.0%1.0%7.4%11.5%
If Win 1.5%1.5%10.1%8.5%
If Draw <1%<1%7.7%12.8%
If Lose <1%<1%4.5%16.4%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

NewportStatYork City
7Games played7
1.4Avg goals scored1.9
1.6Avg goals conceded1.4
14% / 43% / 43%Win / Draw / Loss43% / 29% / 29%
33% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
NewportStatYork City
4All-time wins (6 meetings, 0 draws)2
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
1.5Average goals0.8
Last meeting (2016-01-16): York City 0–1 Newport