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League Two
Tue, Oct 20, 2026 · 7:45 PM BST

Rochdale vs Grimsby Prediction & Win Probability

Grimsby has a 38% chance to win.

2-1-4 · Rating 1150
Form: WDLWL
VS
3-4-0 · Rating 1226
Form: WWDDD
Model Probability
34%
38%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Grimsby

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 14.4%14.4%31.2%<1%
If Win 15.3%15.3%37.5%<1%
If Draw 11.2%11.2%32.9%1.1%
If Lose 8.8%8.8%29.8%1.4%

Rochdale

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%3.0%26.6%
If Win <1%<1%4.7%18.1%
If Draw <1%<1%3.4%24.9%
If Lose <1%<1%1.5%30.7%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

RochdaleStatGrimsby
7Games played7
1.0Avg goals scored1.6
1.4Avg goals conceded0.9
29% / 14% / 57%Win / Draw / Loss43% / 57% / 0%
50% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
RochdaleStatGrimsby
1All-time wins (3 meetings, 0 draws)2
1Last 3 meetings (0 draws)2
1.3Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2023-03-11): Grimsby 1–0 Rochdale