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Exeter vs Cheltenham Prediction & Win Probability

Exeter has a 54% chance to win.
League Two
Sat, Nov 14, 2026 · 12:30 PM GMT
League Two
Exeter
5-4-5Rating 1252
Form: LWWDW
vs
Model Probability
54%
Draw 25%
21%
League Two
Cheltenham
6-3-5Rating 1181
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Cheltenham

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.3%1.3%14.5%3.1%
If Win 2.8%2.8%22.0%1.6%
If Draw 1.2%1.2%13.7%2.5%
If Lose <1%<1%10.9%4.0%

Exeter

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 6.0%6.0%35.0%<1%
If Win 7.7%7.7%41.1%<1%
If Draw 4.8%4.8%34.1%<1%
If Lose 3.1%3.1%26.5%1.0%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ExeterStatCheltenham
14Games played14
0.8Avg goals scored1.6
0.6Avg goals conceded1.8
36% / 29% / 36%Win / Draw / Loss43% / 21% / 36%
57% Home win % / Away win % 14%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ExeterStatCheltenham
9All-time wins (19 meetings, 3 draws)7
2Last 5 meetings (0 draws)3
1.4Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2024-04-01): Cheltenham 1–2 Exeter