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Newport vs Swindon Prediction & Win Probability

Newport has a 47% chance to win.
League Two
Sat, Nov 21, 2026 · 12:30 PM GMT
League Two
Newport
4-6-4Rating 1203
Form: WLDDW
vs
Model Probability
47%
Draw 27%
27%
League Two
Swindon
5-4-5Rating 1187
Form: WDWDL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Swindon

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%11.0%4.6%
If Win 2.0%2.0%17.2%1.7%
If Draw <1%<1%12.3%4.0%
If Lose <1%<1%8.2%6.0%

Newport

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.1%1.1%13.6%3.4%
If Win 2.0%2.0%17.8%1.7%
If Draw <1%<1%11.7%4.6%
If Lose <1%<1%9.0%6.5%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

NewportStatSwindon
14Games played14
1.4Avg goals scored1.1
1.2Avg goals conceded1.2
29% / 43% / 29%Win / Draw / Loss36% / 29% / 36%
57% Home win % / Away win % 14%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
NewportStatSwindon
7All-time wins (16 meetings, 1 draws)8
1Last 5 meetings (0 draws)4
0.9Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-02-11): Swindon 2–0 Newport