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League Two
Sat, Nov 28, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT

Derby vs Watford Prediction & Win Probability

Derby has a 46% chance to win.

1-2-5 · Rating 1620
Form: DLLLW
VS
2-2-4 · Rating 1605
Form: LLWLL
Model Probability
46%
27%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DerbyStatWatford
8Games played8
0.9Avg goals scored0.9
1.8Avg goals conceded1.2
12% / 25% / 62%Win / Draw / Loss25% / 25% / 50%
0% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DerbyStatWatford
7All-time wins (17 meetings, 1 draws)9
0Last 5 meetings (0 draws)5
1.7Average goals1.6
Last meeting (2026-02-21): Watford 2–0 Derby