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League Two
Sat, Dec 19, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT

Chelsea vs Aston Villa Prediction & Win Probability

Chelsea has a 38% chance to win.

2-1-2 · Rating 1899
Form: LDLWW
VS
1-1-3 · Rating 1944
Form: WLDLL
Model Probability
38%
34%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ChelseaStatAston Villa
5Games played5
2.0Avg goals scored0.8
2.4Avg goals conceded1.8
40% / 20% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 20% / 60%
50% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ChelseaStatAston Villa
16All-time wins (27 meetings, 4 draws)7
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
2.3Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-03-04): Aston Villa 1–4 Chelsea