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Chesterfield vs Northampton Prediction & Win Probability

Chesterfield has a 51% chance to win.
League Two
Sat, Dec 26, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT
League Two
Chesterfield
5-4-5Rating 1223
Form: LWDLD
vs
Model Probability
51%
Draw 26%
23%
League Two
Northampton
3-5-5Rating 1177
Form: LDWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Northampton

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%4.0%15.3%
If Win <1%<1%7.0%8.7%
If Draw <1%<1%4.2%14.1%
If Lose <1%<1%2.5%18.1%

Chesterfield

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 2.5%2.5%24.9%1.5%
If Win 3.8%3.8%28.4%<1%
If Draw 1.7%1.7%21.2%1.6%
If Lose 1.5%1.5%17.7%2.7%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ChesterfieldStatNorthampton
14Games played13
1.7Avg goals scored0.7
1.5Avg goals conceded0.8
36% / 29% / 36%Win / Draw / Loss23% / 38% / 38%
43% Home win % / Away win % 17%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ChesterfieldStatNorthampton
5All-time wins (9 meetings, 3 draws)1
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
1.6Average goals0.8
Last meeting (2017-02-11): Northampton 3–1 Chesterfield