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Northampton vs Exeter Prediction & Win Probability

Exeter has a 38% chance to win.
League Two
Sat, Dec 19, 2026 · 12:30 PM GMT
League Two
Northampton
3-5-5Rating 1177
Form: LDWLW
vs
Model Probability
34%
Draw 28%
38%
League Two
Exeter
5-4-5Rating 1252
Form: LWWDW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Exeter

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 5.5%5.5%36.3%<1%
If Win 8.5%8.5%42.5%<1%
If Draw 5.4%5.4%33.8%<1%
If Lose 3.5%3.5%29.5%<1%

Northampton

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%4.2%15.7%
If Win <1%<1%6.2%9.3%
If Draw <1%<1%3.7%14.3%
If Lose <1%<1%2.0%19.4%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

NorthamptonStatExeter
13Games played14
0.7Avg goals scored0.8
0.8Avg goals conceded0.6
23% / 38% / 38%Win / Draw / Loss36% / 29% / 36%
29% Home win % / Away win % 14%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
NorthamptonStatExeter
12All-time wins (21 meetings, 5 draws)4
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.6Average goals0.8
Last meeting (2026-02-14): Exeter 0–0 Northampton