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League Two
Sat, Dec 26, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT

Exeter vs Newport Prediction & Win Probability

Exeter has a 50% chance to win.

1-3-3 · Rating 1228
Form: DLDDL
VS
1-3-3 · Rating 1188
Form: DDLLD
Model Probability
50%
24%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Newport

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.3%1.3%8.1%12.7%
If Win 1.7%1.7%12.3%8.2%
If Draw 1.4%1.4%8.9%11.0%
If Lose 1.0%1.0%6.1%13.5%

Exeter

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 4.1%4.1%18.0%4.2%
If Win 4.5%4.5%21.5%2.7%
If Draw 2.6%2.6%15.7%4.6%
If Lose 2.1%2.1%13.9%5.9%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ExeterStatNewport
7Games played7
0.6Avg goals scored1.4
0.7Avg goals conceded1.6
14% / 43% / 43%Win / Draw / Loss14% / 43% / 43%
25% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ExeterStatNewport
5All-time wins (18 meetings, 9 draws)4
2Last 5 meetings (3 draws)0
1.1Average goals0.9
Last meeting (2022-04-02): Newport 0–1 Exeter