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Exeter vs Newport Prediction & Win Probability

Exeter has a 51% chance to win.
League Two
Sat, Dec 26, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT
League Two
Exeter
5-4-5Rating 1252
Form: LWWDW
vs
Model Probability
51%
Draw 26%
23%
League Two
Newport
4-6-4Rating 1203
Form: WLDDW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Newport

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.1%1.1%14.0%3.7%
If Win 2.2%2.2%20.3%2.1%
If Draw 1.1%1.1%14.3%3.4%
If Lose <1%<1%9.8%5.3%

Exeter

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 5.7%5.7%38.1%<1%
If Win 8.3%8.3%39.8%<1%
If Draw 4.6%4.6%31.9%<1%
If Lose 2.9%2.9%28.4%1.1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ExeterStatNewport
14Games played14
0.8Avg goals scored1.4
0.6Avg goals conceded1.2
36% / 29% / 36%Win / Draw / Loss29% / 43% / 29%
57% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ExeterStatNewport
5All-time wins (18 meetings, 9 draws)4
2Last 5 meetings (3 draws)0
1.1Average goals0.9
Last meeting (2022-04-02): Newport 0–1 Exeter