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Swindon vs Exeter Prediction & Win Probability

Exeter has a 37% chance to win.
League Two
Tue, Dec 29, 2026 · 7:45 PM GMT
League Two
Swindon
5-4-5Rating 1187
Form: WDWDL
vs
Model Probability
35%
Draw 28%
37%
League Two
Exeter
5-4-5Rating 1252
Form: LWWDW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Exeter

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 5.7%5.7%35.8%<1%
If Win 8.6%8.6%43.0%<1%
If Draw 4.9%4.9%35.4%<1%
If Lose 4.0%4.0%30.2%1.1%

Swindon

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.0%1.0%12.5%4.9%
If Win 1.6%1.6%16.0%2.4%
If Draw <1%<1%9.2%4.1%
If Lose <1%<1%7.7%7.4%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

SwindonStatExeter
14Games played14
1.1Avg goals scored0.8
1.2Avg goals conceded0.6
36% / 29% / 36%Win / Draw / Loss36% / 29% / 36%
57% Home win % / Away win % 14%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
SwindonStatExeter
1All-time wins (11 meetings, 4 draws)6
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
0.7Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2022-03-08): Exeter 3–1 Swindon