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Shrewsbury vs Swindon Prediction & Win Probability

Shrewsbury has a 42% chance to win.
League Two
Sat, Dec 26, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT
League Two
Shrewsbury
5-3-6Rating 1168
Form: LDWWL
vs
Model Probability
42%
Draw 28%
31%
League Two
Swindon
5-4-5Rating 1187
Form: WDWDL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Swindon

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%11.8%5.5%
If Win 1.2%1.2%16.9%2.4%
If Draw <1%<1%10.2%4.3%
If Lose <1%<1%8.0%6.4%

Shrewsbury

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%6.2%9.7%
If Win <1%<1%8.7%5.9%
If Draw <1%<1%5.6%10.2%
If Lose <1%<1%3.4%13.2%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ShrewsburyStatSwindon
14Games played14
1.2Avg goals scored1.1
1.6Avg goals conceded1.2
36% / 21% / 43%Win / Draw / Loss36% / 29% / 36%
43% Home win % / Away win % 14%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ShrewsburyStatSwindon
4All-time wins (14 meetings, 3 draws)7
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.1Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-02-14): Shrewsbury 3–1 Swindon