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Exeter vs Rochdale Prediction & Win Probability

Exeter has a 61% chance to win.
League Two
Sat, Dec 12, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT
League Two
Exeter
5-4-5Rating 1252
Form: LWWDW
vs
Model Probability
61%
Draw 22%
17%
League Two
Rochdale
4-3-7Rating 1136
Form: LLDLD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Rochdale

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%1.0%31.8%
If Win <1%<1%2.8%21.1%
If Draw <1%<1%1.2%30.5%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%36.4%

Exeter

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 5.7%5.7%36.7%<1%
If Win 8.0%8.0%39.1%<1%
If Draw 4.4%4.4%31.1%<1%
If Lose 2.8%2.8%26.0%1.6%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ExeterStatRochdale
14Games played14
0.8Avg goals scored1.2
0.6Avg goals conceded1.9
36% / 29% / 36%Win / Draw / Loss29% / 21% / 50%
57% Home win % / Away win % 14%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ExeterStatRochdale
5All-time wins (10 meetings, 1 draws)4
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
1.5Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2022-04-23): Exeter 2–0 Rochdale