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York City vs Fleetwood Prediction & Win Probability

York City has a 37% chance to win.
League Two
Tue, Dec 29, 2026 · 7:45 PM GMT
League Two
York City
5-5-4Rating 1179
Form: LLWDD
vs
Model Probability
37%
Draw 28%
35%
League Two
Fleetwood
4-5-5Rating 1228
Form: WLLWD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Fleetwood

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.6%1.6%19.3%2.0%
If Win 3.4%3.4%25.1%1.1%
If Draw 1.7%1.7%18.9%2.3%
If Lose 1.0%1.0%15.5%3.7%

York City

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%13.7%5.0%
If Win 1.7%1.7%17.3%2.2%
If Draw <1%<1%11.4%4.5%
If Lose <1%<1%8.9%6.0%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

York CityStatFleetwood
14Games played14
1.7Avg goals scored1.3
1.5Avg goals conceded1.3
36% / 36% / 29%Win / Draw / Loss29% / 36% / 36%
71% Home win % / Away win % 14%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
York CityStatFleetwood
1All-time wins (6 meetings, 2 draws)3
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
0.3Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2014-05-16): Fleetwood 0–0 York City