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Exeter vs Northampton Prediction & Win Probability

Exeter has a 55% chance to win.
League Two
Sat, Jan 9, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT
League Two
Exeter
5-4-5Rating 1252
Form: LWWDW
vs
Model Probability
55%
Draw 24%
21%
League Two
Northampton
3-5-5Rating 1177
Form: LDWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Northampton

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%4.4%15.1%
If Win <1%<1%7.5%8.7%
If Draw <1%<1%5.2%12.3%
If Lose <1%<1%2.8%16.9%

Exeter

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 5.3%5.3%35.3%<1%
If Win 8.0%8.0%39.7%<1%
If Draw 5.0%5.0%34.1%<1%
If Lose 2.7%2.7%27.4%1.0%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ExeterStatNorthampton
14Games played13
0.8Avg goals scored0.7
0.6Avg goals conceded0.8
36% / 29% / 36%Win / Draw / Loss23% / 38% / 38%
57% Home win % / Away win % 17%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ExeterStatNorthampton
4All-time wins (21 meetings, 5 draws)12
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
0.8Average goals1.6
Last meeting (2026-02-14): Exeter 0–0 Northampton