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Port Vale vs Gillingham Prediction & Win Probability

Port Vale has a 52% chance to win.
League Two
Tue, Jan 19, 2027 · 7:45 PM GMT
League Two
Port Vale
4-3-5Rating 1236
Form: WLDWW
vs
Model Probability
52%
Draw 25%
23%
League Two
Gillingham
5-5-4Rating 1182
Form: WLDLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Gillingham

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.1%1.1%11.5%4.0%
If Win 1.8%1.8%19.1%2.1%
If Draw <1%<1%11.5%3.6%
If Lose <1%<1%9.7%5.2%

Port Vale

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 3.6%3.6%24.3%1.8%
If Win 4.5%4.5%29.5%1.3%
If Draw 2.9%2.9%22.6%2.1%
If Lose 2.2%2.2%17.1%3.3%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Port ValeStatGillingham
12Games played14
0.8Avg goals scored1.4
1.2Avg goals conceded1.4
33% / 25% / 42%Win / Draw / Loss36% / 36% / 29%
67% Home win % / Away win % 43%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Port ValeStatGillingham
6All-time wins (17 meetings, 6 draws)5
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
1.2Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-10-20): Gillingham 1–1 Port Vale