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League Two
Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · 3:00 PM BST

Accrington vs Gillingham Prediction & Win Probability

Accrington has a 41% chance to win.

1-3-3 · Rating 1168
Form: DLWDL
VS
3-3-1 · Rating 1193
Form: WWWDD
Model Probability
41%
31%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Gillingham

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 4.3%4.3%19.8%3.7%
If Win 6.8%6.8%24.5%1.7%
If Draw 3.7%3.7%19.4%3.7%
If Lose 3.0%3.0%16.9%5.1%

Accrington

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%5.1%20.3%
If Win <1%<1%6.9%13.4%
If Draw <1%<1%4.7%18.3%
If Lose <1%<1%3.3%24.5%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AccringtonStatGillingham
7Games played7
1.4Avg goals scored1.6
1.9Avg goals conceded0.9
14% / 43% / 43%Win / Draw / Loss43% / 43% / 14%
25% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AccringtonStatGillingham
4All-time wins (19 meetings, 6 draws)9
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
1.2Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2026-04-06): Gillingham 2–0 Accrington