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Cheltenham vs Swindon Prediction & Win Probability

Cheltenham has a 43% chance to win.
League Two
Sat, Mar 13, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT
League Two
Cheltenham
6-3-5Rating 1181
Form: LWWLL
vs
Model Probability
43%
Draw 27%
29%
League Two
Swindon
5-4-5Rating 1187
Form: WDWDL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Swindon

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.0%1.0%12.1%4.8%
If Win 1.9%1.9%15.8%2.4%
If Draw <1%<1%10.3%4.4%
If Lose <1%<1%8.7%5.7%

Cheltenham

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.3%1.3%14.1%3.4%
If Win 1.5%1.5%17.2%2.1%
If Draw <1%<1%12.7%3.6%
If Lose <1%<1%10.2%4.7%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

CheltenhamStatSwindon
14Games played14
1.6Avg goals scored1.1
1.8Avg goals conceded1.2
43% / 21% / 36%Win / Draw / Loss36% / 29% / 36%
71% Home win % / Away win % 14%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
CheltenhamStatSwindon
5All-time wins (12 meetings, 3 draws)4
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
1.5Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-08-22): Swindon 2–1 Cheltenham