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League Two
Sat, Mar 20, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT

Swindon vs Newport Prediction & Win Probability

Swindon has a 44% chance to win.

3-1-3 · Rating 1186
Form: LLWWL
VS
1-3-3 · Rating 1188
Form: DDLLD
Model Probability
44%
29%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Newport

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.4%1.4%7.9%13.0%
If Win 1.8%1.8%11.0%7.9%
If Draw <1%<1%9.0%11.4%
If Lose 1.0%1.0%6.4%14.5%

Swindon

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 2.6%2.6%14.2%6.2%
If Win 2.6%2.6%16.7%4.6%
If Draw 1.9%1.9%13.4%6.9%
If Lose 1.4%1.4%10.5%7.9%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

SwindonStatNewport
7Games played7
1.1Avg goals scored1.4
1.6Avg goals conceded1.6
43% / 14% / 43%Win / Draw / Loss14% / 43% / 43%
100% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
SwindonStatNewport
8All-time wins (16 meetings, 1 draws)7
4Last 5 meetings (0 draws)1
1.2Average goals0.9
Last meeting (2026-02-11): Swindon 2–0 Newport