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Crawley vs Exeter Prediction & Win Probability

Exeter has a 42% chance to win.
League Two
Sat, May 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST
League Two
Crawley
2-3-7Rating 1151
Form: WDLLD
vs
Model Probability
31%
Draw 28%
42%
League Two
Exeter
5-4-5Rating 1252
Form: LWWDW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Exeter

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 6.1%6.1%36.4%<1%
If Win 7.5%7.5%40.8%<1%
If Draw 5.2%5.2%36.9%<1%
If Lose 3.9%3.9%32.4%<1%

Crawley

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%<1%45.1%
If Win <1%<1%<1%37.7%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%44.6%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%50.3%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

CrawleyStatExeter
12Games played14
1.1Avg goals scored0.8
1.8Avg goals conceded0.6
17% / 25% / 58%Win / Draw / Loss36% / 29% / 36%
0% Home win % / Away win % 14%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
CrawleyStatExeter
5All-time wins (16 meetings, 5 draws)6
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.6Average goals1.6
Last meeting (2025-04-21): Crawley 3–1 Exeter