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Premier League
Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · 5:30 PM BST

Manchester Utd vs Tottenham Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester Utd has a 59% chance to win.

1-2-2 · Rating 1941
Form: DLDWL
VS
0-2-3 · Rating 1836
Form: LDDLL
Model Probability
59%
18%
Draw 23%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Tottenham

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%1.3%1.2%41.1%
If Win <1%3.6%1.5%27.5%
If Draw <1%1.4%1.0%38.5%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%46.0%

Manchester Utd

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%25.9%8.9%3.2%
If Win 1.1%32.0%10.4%2.0%
If Draw <1%22.2%8.4%4.0%
If Lose <1%17.5%7.2%6.1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Manchester UtdStatTottenham
5Games played5
1.6Avg goals scored0.4
1.6Avg goals conceded1.6
20% / 40% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss0% / 40% / 60%
50% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Manchester UtdStatTottenham
15All-time wins (33 meetings, 8 draws)10
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
1.5Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-02-07): Manchester Utd 2–0 Tottenham