Premier League
Sun, Oct 18, 2026 · 2:00 PM BST
Leeds vs Manchester Utd Prediction & Win Probability
Leeds has a 38% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 28%
Model Prediction Through Season
Manchester Utd
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 28.3% | 8.8% | 3.7% |
| If Win | 1.1% | 37.2% | 9.2% | 1.2% |
| If Draw | <1% | 25.2% | 8.7% | 3.1% |
| If Lose | <1% | 18.9% | 8.9% | 4.9% |
Leeds
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 23.1% | 8.1% | 4.4% |
| If Win | <1% | 29.5% | 9.3% | 2.1% |
| If Draw | <1% | 21.3% | 8.2% | 4.3% |
| If Lose | <1% | 15.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% |
| Leeds | Stat | Manchester Utd |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games played | 5 |
| 1.4 | Avg goals scored | 1.6 |
| 0.6 | Avg goals conceded | 1.6 |
| 40% / 60% / 0% | Win / Draw / Loss | 20% / 40% / 40% |
| 33% | Home win % / Away win % | 0% |
| Leeds | Stat | Manchester Utd |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | All-time wins (8 meetings, 3 draws) | 4 |
| 1 | Last 5 meetings (2 draws) | 2 |
| 1.2 | Average goals | 2.6 |