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Premier League
Sun, Oct 25, 2026 · 2:00 PM GMT

Manchester Utd vs Bournemouth Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester Utd has a 52% chance to win.

1-2-2 · Rating 1941
Form: DLDWL
VS
0-3-2 · Rating 1890
Form: LDDDL
Model Probability
52%
23%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Bournemouth

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%9.0%3.9%14.3%
If Win <1%14.5%6.0%7.6%
If Draw <1%8.5%4.6%11.7%
If Lose <1%4.7%3.4%16.2%

Manchester Utd

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%26.8%8.3%3.4%
If Win <1%32.8%9.6%1.5%
If Draw <1%23.9%8.4%4.0%
If Lose <1%17.1%7.8%4.9%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Manchester UtdStatBournemouth
5Games played5
1.6Avg goals scored1.2
1.6Avg goals conceded1.6
20% / 40% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss0% / 60% / 40%
50% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Manchester UtdStatBournemouth
9All-time wins (18 meetings, 5 draws)4
0Last 5 meetings (4 draws)1
1.9Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2026-03-20): Bournemouth 2–2 Manchester Utd