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Premier League
Sun, Oct 18, 2026 · 2:00 PM BST

Bournemouth vs Sunderland Prediction & Win Probability

Bournemouth has a 48% chance to win.

0-3-2 · Rating 1890
Form: LDDDL
VS
1-1-3 · Rating 1866
Form: LLDWL
Model Probability
48%
26%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Sunderland

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%5.9%3.4%17.8%
If Win <1%11.0%4.6%10.4%
If Draw <1%5.9%4.1%17.7%
If Lose <1%4.2%2.7%24.0%

Bournemouth

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%8.1%4.2%14.6%
If Win <1%11.6%6.5%9.5%
If Draw <1%6.6%4.0%14.7%
If Lose <1%4.4%2.8%19.8%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BournemouthStatSunderland
5Games played5
1.2Avg goals scored1.2
1.6Avg goals conceded2.0
0% / 60% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 20% / 60%
0% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BournemouthStatSunderland
2All-time wins (6 meetings, 2 draws)2
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
1.3Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-02-28): Bournemouth 1–1 Sunderland