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Premier League
Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · 3:00 PM BST

Sunderland vs Brighton Prediction & Win Probability

Brighton has a 40% chance to win.

1-1-3 · Rating 1866
Form: LLDWL
VS
3-1-1 · Rating 1956
Form: WWDLW
Model Probability
32%
40%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Brighton

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 3.8%56.1%8.1%<1%
If Win 5.6%64.8%8.9%<1%
If Draw 3.2%54.5%8.9%<1%
If Lose 1.4%47.2%10.0%1.1%

Sunderland

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%6.6%3.5%16.0%
If Win <1%11.0%4.6%10.2%
If Draw <1%4.9%3.3%17.3%
If Lose <1%3.1%2.1%22.2%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

SunderlandStatBrighton
5Games played5
1.2Avg goals scored3.2
2.0Avg goals conceded1.0
20% / 20% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 20% / 20%
50% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
SunderlandStatBrighton
0All-time wins (2 meetings, 1 draws)1
0Last 2 meetings (1 draws)1
0.0Average goals0.5
Last meeting (2026-03-14): Sunderland 0–1 Brighton