Premier League
Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · 3:00 PM BST
Chelsea vs Bournemouth Prediction & Win Probability
Chelsea has a 46% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 27%
Model Prediction Through Season
Bournemouth
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 14.4% |
| If Win | <1% | 13.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% |
| If Draw | <1% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 12.9% |
| If Lose | <1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 19.0% |
Chelsea
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 17.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% |
| If Win | <1% | 24.0% | 8.8% | 3.5% |
| If Draw | <1% | 14.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% |
| If Lose | <1% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 9.9% |
| Chelsea | Stat | Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games played | 5 |
| 2.0 | Avg goals scored | 1.2 |
| 2.4 | Avg goals conceded | 1.6 |
| 40% / 20% / 40% | Win / Draw / Loss | 0% / 60% / 40% |
| 50% | Home win % / Away win % | 0% |
| Chelsea | Stat | Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | All-time wins (18 meetings, 5 draws) | 4 |
| 2 | Last 5 meetings (3 draws) | 0 |
| 1.5 | Average goals | 1.1 |