Premier League
Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · 12:30 PM BST
Everton vs Chelsea Prediction & Win Probability
Everton has a 44% chance to win.
Model Prediction Through Season
Chelsea
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 18.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% |
| If Win | <1% | 26.5% | 9.3% | 2.0% |
| If Draw | <1% | 17.6% | 7.7% | 5.1% |
| If Lose | <1% | 13.1% | 5.6% | 7.9% |
Everton
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 20.5% | 7.3% | 4.3% |
| If Win | <1% | 28.0% | 9.1% | 2.3% |
| If Draw | <1% | 17.1% | 7.7% | 5.0% |
| If Lose | <1% | 11.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% |
| Everton | Stat | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games played | 5 |
| 1.2 | Avg goals scored | 2.0 |
| 0.6 | Avg goals conceded | 2.4 |
| 40% / 60% / 0% | Win / Draw / Loss | 40% / 20% / 40% |
| 67% | Home win % / Away win % | 33% |
| Everton | Stat | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | All-time wins (33 meetings, 7 draws) | 15 |
| 1 | Last 5 meetings (1 draws) | 3 |
| 1.0 | Average goals | 1.5 |