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Premier League
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 5:30 PM BST

Chelsea vs Tottenham Prediction & Win Probability

Chelsea has a 53% chance to win.

2-1-2 · Rating 1899
Form: LDLWW
VS
0-2-3 · Rating 1836
Form: LDDLL
Model Probability
53%
22%
Draw 25%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Tottenham

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%1.6%1.2%40.1%
If Win <1%3.1%1.9%28.3%
If Draw <1%1.2%1.0%39.0%
If Lose <1%1.1%<1%45.7%

Chelsea

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%18.1%6.1%5.8%
If Win <1%22.1%8.1%3.2%
If Draw <1%15.9%6.3%6.5%
If Lose <1%10.7%5.1%10.0%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ChelseaStatTottenham
5Games played5
2.0Avg goals scored0.4
2.4Avg goals conceded1.6
40% / 20% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss0% / 40% / 60%
50% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ChelseaStatTottenham
18All-time wins (33 meetings, 9 draws)6
5Last 5 meetings (0 draws)0
1.8Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-05-19): Chelsea 2–1 Tottenham