Premier League
Sat, Oct 31, 2026 · 12:30 PM GMT
Chelsea vs Manchester Utd Prediction & Win Probability
Chelsea has a 38% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 28%
Model Prediction Through Season
Manchester Utd
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 26.2% | 9.9% | 2.8% |
| If Win | 1.0% | 35.5% | 10.2% | 1.5% |
| If Draw | <1% | 25.5% | 8.7% | 3.4% |
| If Lose | <1% | 19.3% | 7.8% | 5.1% |
Chelsea
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 18.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% |
| If Win | <1% | 25.8% | 8.3% | 3.3% |
| If Draw | <1% | 17.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% |
| If Lose | <1% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% |
| Chelsea | Stat | Manchester Utd |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games played | 5 |
| 2.0 | Avg goals scored | 1.6 |
| 2.4 | Avg goals conceded | 1.6 |
| 40% / 20% / 40% | Win / Draw / Loss | 20% / 40% / 40% |
| 50% | Home win % / Away win % | 0% |
| Chelsea | Stat | Manchester Utd |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | All-time wins (33 meetings, 13 draws) | 11 |
| 2 | Last 5 meetings (1 draws) | 2 |
| 1.2 | Average goals | 1.4 |