Premier League
Sun, Nov 8, 2026 · 4:30 PM GMT
Manchester Utd vs Aston Villa Prediction & Win Probability
Manchester Utd has a 44% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 27%
Model Prediction Through Season
Aston Villa
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 24.9% | 8.1% | 4.6% |
| If Win | 1.0% | 34.7% | 9.8% | 1.1% |
| If Draw | <1% | 23.5% | 8.5% | 3.6% |
| If Lose | <1% | 17.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% |
Manchester Utd
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 26.1% | 9.2% | 3.0% |
| If Win | 1.1% | 33.4% | 9.7% | 2.3% |
| If Draw | <1% | 24.7% | 8.2% | 3.5% |
| If Lose | <1% | 18.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% |
| Manchester Utd | Stat | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games played | 5 |
| 1.6 | Avg goals scored | 0.8 |
| 1.6 | Avg goals conceded | 1.8 |
| 20% / 40% / 40% | Win / Draw / Loss | 20% / 20% / 60% |
| 50% | Home win % / Away win % | 33% |
| Manchester Utd | Stat | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | All-time wins (27 meetings, 6 draws) | 3 |
| 3 | Last 5 meetings (1 draws) | 1 |
| 2.0 | Average goals | 0.9 |