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Premier League
Sun, Nov 22, 2026 · 4:30 PM GMT

Liverpool vs Manchester Utd Prediction & Win Probability

Liverpool has a 47% chance to win.

2-3-0 · Rating 1963
Form: WDWDD
VS
1-2-2 · Rating 1941
Form: DLDWL
Model Probability
47%
26%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Manchester Utd

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%27.9%9.2%3.4%
If Win 1.0%38.6%10.1%1.3%
If Draw <1%27.3%8.5%2.5%
If Lose <1%19.1%8.0%4.4%

Liverpool

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 2.6%53.3%8.6%<1%
If Win 3.8%59.8%9.9%<1%
If Draw 2.5%48.6%10.2%<1%
If Lose 1.3%39.6%9.9%1.1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LiverpoolStatManchester Utd
5Games played5
1.4Avg goals scored1.6
0.8Avg goals conceded1.6
40% / 60% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 40% / 40%
0% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LiverpoolStatManchester Utd
10All-time wins (33 meetings, 10 draws)13
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
1.7Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-05-03): Manchester Utd 3–2 Liverpool