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Liverpool vs Manchester Utd Prediction & Win Probability

Liverpool has a 55% chance to win.
Premier League
Sun, Nov 22, 2026 · 4:30 PM GMT
Premier League
Liverpool
5-3-2Rating 1964
Form: WLWWL
vs
Model Probability
55%
Draw 25%
21%
Premier League
Manchester Utd
1-5-4Rating 1892
Form: DLLDD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Manchester Utd

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%3.3%3.0%15.2%
If Win <1%7.5%4.5%7.6%
If Draw <1%3.6%3.1%12.8%
If Lose <1%1.8%2.0%18.6%

Liverpool

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 1.9%64.1%10.4%<1%
If Win 2.5%70.4%9.5%<1%
If Draw 1.1%59.7%10.9%<1%
If Lose <1%49.1%12.5%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LiverpoolStatManchester Utd
10Games played10
1.4Avg goals scored1.4
1.0Avg goals conceded1.9
50% / 30% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss10% / 50% / 40%
20% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LiverpoolStatManchester Utd
10All-time wins (33 meetings, 10 draws)13
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
1.7Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-05-03): Manchester Utd 3–2 Liverpool