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Premier League
Sun, Nov 1, 2026 · 4:30 PM GMT

Liverpool vs Arsenal Prediction & Win Probability

Arsenal has a 43% chance to win.

2-3-0 · Rating 1963
Form: WDWDD
VS
4-0-1 · Rating 2074
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
30%
43%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Arsenal

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 40.4%96.4%1.2%<1%
If Win 48.7%98.5%<1%<1%
If Draw 38.4%96.4%1.4%<1%
If Lose 31.6%93.6%2.5%<1%

Liverpool

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 3.0%53.1%10.1%<1%
If Win 5.3%62.5%9.2%<1%
If Draw 2.6%52.2%9.5%<1%
If Lose 1.2%43.8%9.7%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LiverpoolStatArsenal
5Games played5
1.4Avg goals scored1.6
0.8Avg goals conceded0.8
40% / 60% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss80% / 0% / 20%
0% Home win % / Away win % 67%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LiverpoolStatArsenal
12All-time wins (33 meetings, 13 draws)8
1Last 5 meetings (3 draws)1
2.0Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2026-01-08): Arsenal 0–0 Liverpool