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Premier League
Sun, Oct 25, 2026 · 2:00 PM GMT

Liverpool vs Brighton Prediction & Win Probability

Liverpool has a 45% chance to win.

2-3-0 · Rating 1963
Form: WDWDD
VS
3-1-1 · Rating 1956
Form: WWDLW
Model Probability
45%
28%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Brighton

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 3.5%55.5%9.8%<1%
If Win 6.3%68.9%8.3%<1%
If Draw 3.8%57.0%9.9%<1%
If Lose 2.8%49.6%9.8%1.0%

Liverpool

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 2.4%52.3%9.3%<1%
If Win 4.1%60.5%9.5%<1%
If Draw 2.7%48.9%9.5%<1%
If Lose 1.2%39.1%9.9%1.2%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LiverpoolStatBrighton
5Games played5
1.4Avg goals scored3.2
0.8Avg goals conceded1.0
40% / 60% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 20% / 20%
0% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LiverpoolStatBrighton
10All-time wins (18 meetings, 4 draws)4
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
1.9Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-03-21): Brighton 2–1 Liverpool