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Premier League
Sun, Oct 25, 2026 · 2:00 PM GMT

Liverpool vs Brighton Prediction & Win Probability

Liverpool has a 45% chance to win.

2-3-0 · Rating 1963
Form: WDWDD
VS
3-1-1 · Rating 1956
Form: WWDLW
Model Probability
45%
28%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Brighton

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 3.6%56.9%8.6%<1%
If Win 6.1%68.0%8.9%<1%
If Draw 3.0%57.0%9.9%<1%
If Lose 2.1%47.1%10.7%<1%

Liverpool

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 3.0%51.5%10.5%<1%
If Win 4.3%61.7%9.1%<1%
If Draw 2.0%49.0%10.2%<1%
If Lose 1.4%40.0%10.3%1.4%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LiverpoolStatBrighton
5Games played5
1.4Avg goals scored3.2
0.8Avg goals conceded1.0
40% / 60% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 20% / 20%
0% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LiverpoolStatBrighton
10All-time wins (18 meetings, 4 draws)4
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
1.9Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-03-21): Brighton 2–1 Liverpool