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Aston Villa vs Sunderland Prediction & Win Probability

Aston Villa has a 61% chance to win.
Premier League
Sat, Nov 21, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT
Premier League
Aston Villa
3-4-3Rating 1943
Form: DDWWD
vs
Model Probability
61%
Draw 22%
17%
Premier League
Sunderland
2-2-6Rating 1828
Form: WLDLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Sunderland

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%<1%1.0%35.6%
If Win <1%2.0%1.7%22.4%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%33.3%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%40.3%

Aston Villa

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%26.8%11.5%1.0%
If Win <1%33.6%11.9%<1%
If Draw <1%21.7%9.2%1.7%
If Lose <1%16.4%8.8%2.6%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Aston VillaStatSunderland
10Games played10
1.4Avg goals scored0.8
1.7Avg goals conceded1.7
30% / 40% / 30%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 20% / 60%
20% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Aston VillaStatSunderland
7All-time wins (17 meetings, 7 draws)3
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
1.6Average goals0.9
Last meeting (2026-04-19): Aston Villa 4–3 Sunderland