Premier League
Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · 5:30 PM BST
Newcastle vs Aston Villa Prediction & Win Probability
Newcastle has a 40% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 28%
Model Prediction Through Season
Aston Villa
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 24.0% | 9.2% | 4.2% |
| If Win | 1.0% | 35.1% | 9.6% | 1.9% |
| If Draw | <1% | 23.2% | 8.4% | 4.2% |
| If Lose | <1% | 17.8% | 7.6% | 5.1% |
Newcastle
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 23.0% | 8.8% | 4.5% |
| If Win | 1.1% | 32.6% | 9.5% | 2.4% |
| If Draw | <1% | 22.1% | 7.8% | 4.0% |
| If Lose | <1% | 15.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% |
| Newcastle | Stat | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games played | 5 |
| 1.8 | Avg goals scored | 0.8 |
| 1.8 | Avg goals conceded | 1.8 |
| 40% / 40% / 20% | Win / Draw / Loss | 20% / 20% / 60% |
| 33% | Home win % / Away win % | 33% |
| Newcastle | Stat | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | All-time wins (28 meetings, 9 draws) | 7 |
| 2 | Last 5 meetings (1 draws) | 2 |
| 1.4 | Average goals | 1.0 |