Premier League
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 12:30 PM BST
Aston Villa vs Manchester City Prediction & Win Probability
Manchester City has a 44% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 27%
Model Prediction Through Season
Manchester City
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 48.1% | 96.8% | 1.2% | <1% |
| If Win | 56.6% | 98.4% | <1% | <1% |
| If Draw | 46.5% | 96.5% | 1.5% | <1% |
| If Lose | 39.6% | 94.1% | 2.5% | <1% |
Aston Villa
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 24.8% | 7.7% | 3.9% |
| If Win | 1.2% | 34.6% | 9.7% | 1.2% |
| If Draw | <1% | 24.5% | 9.0% | 3.5% |
| If Lose | <1% | 18.6% | 7.7% | 5.0% |
| Aston Villa | Stat | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games played | 5 |
| 0.8 | Avg goals scored | 2.6 |
| 1.8 | Avg goals conceded | 1.0 |
| 20% / 20% / 60% | Win / Draw / Loss | 100% / 0% / 0% |
| 0% | Home win % / Away win % | 100% |
| Aston Villa | Stat | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | All-time wins (27 meetings, 2 draws) | 19 |
| 3 | Last 5 meetings (0 draws) | 2 |
| 0.9 | Average goals | 2.3 |
Recent Results
Manchester City
vs Sunderland
Sun, Sep 20, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5–3
@ Manchester Utd
Sun, Sep 13, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
vs Coventry
Sat, Sep 5, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
@ Crystal Palace
Fri, Aug 28, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4–1
vs Bournemouth
Sun, Aug 23, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2–1