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Derby vs Stoke Prediction & Win Probability

Derby has a 44% chance to win.
Final Score: Derby 0–1 Stoke
Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · 3:00 PM BST
Premier League
Derby
1-3-6Rating 1591
Form: LDDLL
0 – 1
Model Probability
44%
Draw 27%
29%
Premier League
Stoke
5-1-4Rating 1641
Form: LWWWD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DerbyStatStoke
10Games played10
0.9Avg goals scored1.7
1.9Avg goals conceded1.6
10% / 30% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 10% / 40%
0% Home win % / Away win % 40%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DerbyStatStoke
4All-time wins (12 meetings, 4 draws)4
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.2Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2026-04-06): Derby 2–0 Stoke