Premier League
Sat, Dec 5, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT
Newcastle vs Sunderland Prediction & Win Probability
Newcastle has a 51% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 26%
Model Prediction Through Season
Sunderland
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 17.8% |
| If Win | <1% | 10.7% | 5.7% | 10.1% |
| If Draw | <1% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 17.8% |
| If Lose | <1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 20.8% |
Newcastle
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 23.7% | 8.4% | 3.4% |
| If Win | <1% | 28.0% | 9.3% | 2.8% |
| If Draw | <1% | 20.0% | 8.9% | 4.5% |
| If Lose | <1% | 14.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% |
| Newcastle | Stat | Sunderland |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games played | 5 |
| 1.8 | Avg goals scored | 1.2 |
| 1.8 | Avg goals conceded | 2.0 |
| 40% / 40% / 20% | Win / Draw / Loss | 20% / 20% / 60% |
| 33% | Home win % / Away win % | 0% |
| Newcastle | Stat | Sunderland |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | All-time wins (14 meetings, 4 draws) | 8 |
| 0 | Last 5 meetings (1 draws) | 4 |
| 0.9 | Average goals | 1.5 |