Premier League
Wed, Dec 2, 2026 · 8:00 PM GMT
Newcastle vs Manchester Utd Prediction & Win Probability
Newcastle has a 41% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 28%
Model Prediction Through Season
Manchester Utd
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 25.1% | 9.0% | 3.0% |
| If Win | 1.2% | 35.7% | 9.5% | 1.4% |
| If Draw | <1% | 25.4% | 9.5% | 3.4% |
| If Lose | <1% | 21.6% | 7.1% | 3.9% |
Newcastle
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 24.3% | 7.9% | 4.1% |
| If Win | <1% | 30.2% | 10.3% | 2.4% |
| If Draw | <1% | 21.3% | 7.8% | 3.6% |
| If Lose | <1% | 15.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% |
| Newcastle | Stat | Manchester Utd |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games played | 5 |
| 1.8 | Avg goals scored | 1.6 |
| 1.8 | Avg goals conceded | 1.6 |
| 40% / 40% / 20% | Win / Draw / Loss | 20% / 40% / 40% |
| 33% | Home win % / Away win % | 0% |
| Newcastle | Stat | Manchester Utd |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | All-time wins (30 meetings, 6 draws) | 15 |
| 3 | Last 5 meetings (0 draws) | 2 |
| 1.2 | Average goals | 1.8 |