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Newcastle vs Sunderland Prediction & Win Probability

Newcastle has a 51% chance to win.
Premier League
Sun, Dec 6, 2026 · 2:00 PM GMT
Premier League
Newcastle
3-2-4Rating 1889
Form: LWLLW
vs
Model Probability
51%
Draw 26%
23%
Premier League
Sunderland
1-2-6Rating 1840
Form: LDLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Sunderland

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%1.4%1.3%39.7%
If Win <1%2.0%1.7%25.9%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%38.2%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%46.0%

Newcastle

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%8.2%4.5%8.6%
If Win <1%9.4%5.6%5.3%
If Draw <1%5.8%4.8%9.6%
If Lose <1%4.3%3.1%14.3%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

NewcastleStatSunderland
9Games played9
1.3Avg goals scored0.8
1.7Avg goals conceded1.9
33% / 22% / 44%Win / Draw / Loss11% / 22% / 67%
20% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
NewcastleStatSunderland
2All-time wins (14 meetings, 4 draws)8
0Last 5 meetings (1 draws)4
0.9Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-03-22): Newcastle 1–2 Sunderland