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Brighton vs Newcastle Prediction & Win Probability

Brighton has a 58% chance to win.
Premier League
Sun, Nov 29, 2026 · 2:05 PM GMT
Premier League
Brighton
7-1-2Rating 1983
Form: WWLWW
vs
Model Probability
58%
Draw 24%
19%
Premier League
Newcastle
3-3-4Rating 1890
Form: DLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Newcastle

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%6.7%4.4%8.2%
If Win <1%12.6%7.3%2.8%
If Draw <1%6.3%5.0%6.8%
If Lose <1%4.2%4.3%9.7%

Brighton

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 8.7%84.7%6.2%<1%
If Win 10.9%89.3%4.1%<1%
If Draw 6.4%81.4%6.6%<1%
If Lose 4.4%76.0%8.3%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BrightonStatNewcastle
10Games played10
2.6Avg goals scored1.3
0.7Avg goals conceded1.6
70% / 10% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss30% / 30% / 40%
80% Home win % / Away win % 40%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BrightonStatNewcastle
7All-time wins (20 meetings, 8 draws)5
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.1Average goals0.9
Last meeting (2026-05-02): Newcastle 3–1 Brighton