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Premier League
Sun, Nov 29, 2026 · 2:05 PM GMT

Brighton vs Newcastle Prediction & Win Probability

Brighton has a 50% chance to win.

3-1-1 · Rating 1956
Form: WWDLW
VS
2-2-1 · Rating 1916
Form: WLDWD
Model Probability
50%
24%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Newcastle

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%23.5%8.6%3.5%
If Win <1%35.5%9.3%1.8%
If Draw <1%24.2%8.4%2.8%
If Lose <1%17.4%6.8%5.0%

Brighton

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 3.4%54.5%9.7%<1%
If Win 4.9%63.2%9.1%<1%
If Draw 3.0%53.2%11.0%<1%
If Lose 2.1%43.2%10.0%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BrightonStatNewcastle
5Games played5
3.2Avg goals scored1.8
1.0Avg goals conceded1.8
60% / 20% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 40% / 20%
67% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BrightonStatNewcastle
7All-time wins (20 meetings, 8 draws)5
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.1Average goals0.9
Last meeting (2026-05-02): Newcastle 3–1 Brighton