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Premier League
Wed, Dec 2, 2026 · 8:00 PM GMT

Bournemouth vs Brighton Prediction & Win Probability

Brighton has a 37% chance to win.

0-3-2 · Rating 1890
Form: LDDDL
VS
3-1-1 · Rating 1956
Form: WWDLW
Model Probability
35%
37%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Brighton

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 3.5%54.7%9.8%<1%
If Win 5.6%65.7%8.7%<1%
If Draw 3.4%55.6%9.1%<1%
If Lose 2.5%47.3%10.3%<1%

Bournemouth

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%8.2%3.7%13.1%
If Win <1%11.5%5.5%8.6%
If Draw <1%7.9%3.8%13.3%
If Lose <1%4.4%2.9%17.8%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BournemouthStatBrighton
5Games played5
1.2Avg goals scored3.2
1.6Avg goals conceded1.0
0% / 60% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 20% / 20%
0% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BournemouthStatBrighton
9All-time wins (20 meetings, 5 draws)6
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.6Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-01-19): Brighton 1–1 Bournemouth