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Bournemouth vs Brighton Prediction & Win Probability

Bournemouth has a 39% chance to win.
Premier League
Wed, Dec 2, 2026 · 8:15 PM GMT
Premier League
Bournemouth
4-3-3Rating 1945
Form: WWWWL
vs
Model Probability
39%
Draw 28%
33%
Premier League
Brighton
7-1-2Rating 1983
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Brighton

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 7.6%84.3%5.8%<1%
If Win 11.8%92.2%3.5%<1%
If Draw 6.9%84.2%5.8%<1%
If Lose 5.1%79.0%7.5%<1%

Bournemouth

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%35.1%13.1%<1%
If Win 1.0%47.1%13.5%<1%
If Draw <1%34.6%13.0%<1%
If Lose <1%25.9%11.9%1.0%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BournemouthStatBrighton
10Games played10
1.6Avg goals scored2.6
1.4Avg goals conceded0.7
40% / 30% / 30%Win / Draw / Loss70% / 10% / 20%
40% Home win % / Away win % 60%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BournemouthStatBrighton
9All-time wins (20 meetings, 5 draws)6
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.6Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-01-19): Brighton 1–1 Bournemouth