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Sat, Nov 21, 2026 · 5:30 PM GMT

Newcastle vs Arsenal Prediction & Win Probability

Arsenal has a 50% chance to win.

2-2-1 · Rating 1916
Form: WLDWD
VS
4-0-1 · Rating 2074
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
24%
50%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Arsenal

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 41.8%96.0%1.7%<1%
If Win 46.6%97.9%1.0%<1%
If Draw 39.1%96.4%1.8%<1%
If Lose 31.4%93.2%2.5%<1%

Newcastle

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%24.6%8.8%3.5%
If Win 1.2%33.1%9.6%1.7%
If Draw <1%24.0%8.6%3.9%
If Lose <1%17.1%7.6%4.9%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

NewcastleStatArsenal
5Games played5
1.8Avg goals scored1.6
1.8Avg goals conceded0.8
40% / 40% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss80% / 0% / 20%
33% Home win % / Away win % 67%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
NewcastleStatArsenal
5All-time wins (30 meetings, 3 draws)22
1Last 5 meetings (0 draws)4
0.7Average goals1.8
Last meeting (2026-04-25): Arsenal 1–0 Newcastle