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Premier League
Sat, Dec 5, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT

Tottenham vs Arsenal Prediction & Win Probability

Arsenal has a 61% chance to win.

0-2-3 · Rating 1836
Form: LDDLL
VS
4-0-1 · Rating 2074
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
17%
61%
Draw 22%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Arsenal

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 42.4%95.8%1.9%<1%
If Win 44.5%97.2%1.1%<1%
If Draw 37.4%94.7%2.0%<1%
If Lose 31.9%93.2%2.6%<1%

Tottenham

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%1.7%<1%43.1%
If Win <1%2.9%1.6%28.7%
If Draw <1%1.4%1.2%38.0%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%45.9%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

TottenhamStatArsenal
5Games played5
0.4Avg goals scored1.6
1.6Avg goals conceded0.8
0% / 40% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss80% / 0% / 20%
0% Home win % / Away win % 67%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
TottenhamStatArsenal
10All-time wins (33 meetings, 8 draws)15
0Last 5 meetings (0 draws)5
1.5Average goals1.9
Last meeting (2026-02-22): Tottenham 1–4 Arsenal