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Premier League
Sat, Dec 12, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT

Arsenal vs Bournemouth Prediction & Win Probability

Arsenal has a 70% chance to win.

4-0-1 · Rating 2074
Form: LWWWW
VS
0-3-2 · Rating 1890
Form: LDDDL
Model Probability
70%
12%
Draw 18%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Bournemouth

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%8.6%4.6%15.0%
If Win <1%15.4%7.4%6.7%
If Draw <1%9.4%4.5%11.6%
If Lose <1%6.5%4.3%15.4%

Arsenal

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 41.4%96.5%1.8%<1%
If Win 44.7%97.4%1.0%<1%
If Draw 36.3%95.4%1.7%<1%
If Lose 29.9%92.2%2.2%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ArsenalStatBournemouth
5Games played5
1.6Avg goals scored1.2
0.8Avg goals conceded1.6
80% / 0% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss0% / 60% / 40%
100% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ArsenalStatBournemouth
12All-time wins (18 meetings, 2 draws)4
2Last 5 meetings (0 draws)3
2.3Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-04-11): Arsenal 1–2 Bournemouth