← Home / England / Premier League / Matches / Stoke vs Derby

Stoke vs Derby Prediction & Win Probability

Stoke has a 51% chance to win.
Premier League
Sat, Jan 16, 2027 · 12:30 PM GMT
Premier League
Stoke
9-2-4Rating 1641
Form: WWWDW
vs
Model Probability
51%
Draw 26%
23%
Premier League
Derby
2-4-9Rating 1591
Form: WLLDL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

StokeStatDerby
15Games played15
1.6Avg goals scored0.9
1.2Avg goals conceded2.0
60% / 13% / 27%Win / Draw / Loss13% / 27% / 60%
57% Home win % / Away win % 14%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
StokeStatDerby
5All-time wins (13 meetings, 4 draws)4
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
1.0Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-10-17): Derby 0–1 Stoke