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Premier League
Tue, Mar 16, 2027 · 7:45 PM GMT

Derby vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Win Probability

Middlesbrough has a 37% chance to win.

1-2-5 · Rating 1620
Form: DLLLW
VS
4-3-1 · Rating 1684
Form: DDWWD
Model Probability
35%
37%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DerbyStatMiddlesbrough
8Games played8
0.9Avg goals scored2.0
1.8Avg goals conceded1.5
12% / 25% / 62%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 38% / 12%
0% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DerbyStatMiddlesbrough
8All-time wins (27 meetings, 7 draws)12
2Last 5 meetings (0 draws)3
1.1Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-01-01): Derby 1–0 Middlesbrough