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Marseille vs Lille Prediction & Win Probability

Marseille has a 52% chance to win.
Final Score: Marseille 1–2 Lille
Sun, Mar 22, 2026 · 4:15 PM GMT
Ligue 1
Marseille
15-4-7Rating 1799
Form: WWWLD
1 – 2
Model Probability
52%
Draw 25%
23%
Ligue 1
Lille
13-5-8Rating 1808
Form: WDWWD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MarseilleStatLille
26Games played26
2.0Avg goals scored1.5
1.3Avg goals conceded1.3
58% / 15% / 27%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 19% / 31%
69% Home win % / Away win % 46%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MarseilleStatLille
12All-time wins (32 meetings, 9 draws)11
0Last 5 meetings (3 draws)2
1.3Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2025-12-05): Lille 1–0 Marseille