Home / France / Ligue 1 / Matches / Marseille vs Nice
Ligue 1
Sat, Dec 5, 2026 · 4:00 PM GMT

Marseille vs Nice Prediction & Win Probability

Marseille has a 54% chance to win.

1-0-4 · Rating 1764
Form: LLLLW
VS
1-2-2 · Rating 1695
Form: WLDLD
Model Probability
54%
21%
Draw 25%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Nice

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%26.4%16.2%
If Win <1%1.1%1.4%20.8%7.8%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%24.4%13.5%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%28.1%18.5%

Marseille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%3.7%3.2%11.6%4.0%
If Win <1%5.1%3.7%7.5%2.4%
If Draw <1%2.1%2.4%13.5%5.0%
If Lose <1%1.4%1.5%15.7%6.4%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MarseilleStatNice
5Games played5
1.4Avg goals scored0.6
1.6Avg goals conceded1.2
20% / 0% / 80%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 40% / 40%
33% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MarseilleStatNice
16All-time wins (32 meetings, 6 draws)10
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.7Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-04-26): Marseille 1–1 Nice