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Ligue 1
Sat, Dec 5, 2026 · 4:00 PM GMT

Troyes vs Lyon Prediction & Win Probability

Lyon has a 47% chance to win.

1-1-3 · Rating 1690
Form: LLLWD
VS
3-2-0 · Rating 1829
Form: WDWDW
Model Probability
26%
47%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lyon

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 8.2%37.0%14.2%<1%<1%
If Win 10.5%44.9%14.4%<1%<1%
If Draw 6.6%36.2%13.9%<1%<1%
If Lose 4.4%28.6%12.7%1.0%<1%

Troyes

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%27.3%18.8%
If Win <1%<1%<1%21.7%12.2%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%27.3%19.3%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%29.3%22.8%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

TroyesStatLyon
5Games played5
0.8Avg goals scored2.0
2.2Avg goals conceded0.4
20% / 20% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 40% / 0%
0% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
TroyesStatLyon
0All-time wins (10 meetings, 0 draws)10
0Last 5 meetings (0 draws)5
0.6Average goals3.0
Last meeting (2023-02-04): Troyes 1–3 Lyon