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Ligue 1
Sat, Dec 12, 2026 · 4:00 PM GMT

Lorient vs Lille Prediction & Win Probability

Lille has a 38% chance to win.

1-2-2 · Rating 1741
Form: LDWLD
VS
3-1-1 · Rating 1814
Form: LWWDW
Model Probability
34%
38%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 4.9%30.2%12.6%1.1%<1%
If Win 6.5%37.1%13.5%<1%<1%
If Draw 4.1%26.7%12.6%<1%<1%
If Lose 2.3%22.1%12.3%1.6%<1%

Lorient

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.8%2.6%15.4%4.9%
If Win <1%3.5%3.3%10.2%2.5%
If Draw <1%1.9%2.3%14.7%5.3%
If Lose <1%1.1%1.0%19.2%7.0%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LorientStatLille
5Games played5
1.0Avg goals scored1.6
1.2Avg goals conceded0.8
20% / 40% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 20% / 20%
0% Home win % / Away win % 67%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LorientStatLille
8All-time wins (25 meetings, 3 draws)14
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
1.0Average goals2.2
Last meeting (2026-03-08): Lille 1–1 Lorient